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          "Three Winters" - an example of 
            how historical context and  sonnet 
            text 
          can now fit together 
By tradition,  regardless of the authorship question, scholars have assumed that the "three winters ... since first I saw  you fresh" of Sonnet 104 refer to a three-year period including 1593  and 1594, when "William Shakespeare" dedicated his first  publications (Venus  and Adonis and Lucrece) to Henry Wriothesley, Third Earl of Southampton.
  The breakthrough  discovery of THE MONUMENT, however, is that the "three winters"  actually refer to Southampton's imprisonment  from February 1601 to April 1603 – specifically:
  (1) Sonnet 27: February 8, 1601, the date of the Essex  Rebellion and the confinement that night of Essex and Southampton in separate  prison rooms in the Tower   of London
    (2) Sonnet 97: February 8, 1602, the first anniversary of the  failed palace coup; and
    (3) Sonnet 104: February 8, 1603, the second anniversary of  the abortive attempt to overthrow the Elizabeth government under Robert Cecil's  control.  
  
    
                             Sonnet 104
      
      To me, fair friend, you  never can be old,           
      For as you were when first your eye I  eyed,           
      Such seems your beauty still: Three Winters  cold        
      Have from the forests shook three summers’  pride,        
      Three beauteous springs to yellow Autumn  turned,        
      In process of the seasons have I seen, 
      Three April perfumes in three hot Junes burned,
      Since first I saw you fresh, which yet are  green.           
      Ah yet doth beauty, like a Dial  hand           
      Steal from his figure, and no pace  perceived,         
      So your sweet hew, which methinks still doth stand,     
      Hath motion, and mine eye may be  deceived.        
      For fear of which, hear this, thou age  unbred:  
      Ere you were born was beauty’s summer  dead.  
  
  THE MONUMENT changes  the paradigm by identifying eighty consecutive verses (Sonnet 27 to Sonnet 106)  as an intensely emotional diary recording events during Southampton's twenty-six  months in prison.  This represents more than half the one hundred and  fifty-four sonnets of the entire sequence.  
  The great editor Hyder  Edward Rollins predicted that such a dramatic shift of perception of  Shakespeare's Sonnets would take place if only we could know the context of time and  circumstance to which the verses refer.  
  "The  question ‘when’ the sonnets were written is in many respects the most important  of all the unanswerable questions they pose. If it could be answered  definitely and finally, there might be some chance of establishing to general  satisfaction the identity of the friend, the dark woman and the rival poet  (supposing that all were real individuals), of deciding what contemporary  sources Shakespeare did or did not use, and even of determining whether the  order is the author’s or not. In the past and at the present, such a solution  has been and remains an idle dream.”  (A New Variorum Edition, 1944) 
   
THE MONUMENT answers  the crucial question "when" by demonstrating that the story of the  Sonnets revolves around the imprisonment of Henry Wriothesley, Third Earl  of Southampton from the Rebellion of 1601 until the death of Elizabeth and the  accession of King James in 1603.  
And in  fact this answer to “when” establishes “the identity of the friend, the dark  woman and the rival poet”:
    The  Friend (or  fair youth) must be Southampton, since he’s  the one who’s imprisoned in the Tower as a traitor;
  The  Dark Woman (or  dark lady) must be Queen Elizabeth, since she’s the one who has “stolen” Southampton by keeping him in her prison fortress; 
  The  Rival Poet cannot  be any living writer, since no poets could write to Southampton  while he was in the Tower; and therefore, the “rival” can only be “William  Shakespeare,” the pen name of the real author, which can take the credit for  dedicating “his” works to Southampton.
Once this altered view  of the time frame comes into focus, we come face to face with Edward de Vere,  Seventeenth Earl of Oxford, participating as a judge in the Treason Trial of February 19, 1601 and then  doing everything possible to save his beloved Fair Youth from execution and  gain his freedom.  This is the real story of the Sonnets and why Oxford agreed to  sacrifice his identity as "Shakespeare," the poet who had publicly  declared his commitment to Southampton  ("The love I dedicate to your Lordship is without end") and now  promised him: 
    Your  name from hence immortal life shall have,
    Though I (once gone) to all the world must die. (Sonnet 81)
  Note: This context of  time and circumstance does NOT require the so-called Prince Tudor theory of Southampton as the royal son of Oxford and Elizabeth.   The post-Rebellion context of 1601-1603 can be accepted on its own  terms.  It thereby explains the torrent  of legal language in the Sonnets as pertaining to the treason trial and Oxford’s efforts to  secure Southampton’s eventual release with a  royal pardon.
  Only when we take a  further step to attempt to explain the relationship between Oxford  and Southampton (that is, to explain why Oxford is so concerned about him) do we  confront the Prince Tudor theory as (in our view) the only plausible  answer.  (Within the context of Southampton in the Tower, the “bisexual” theory of the  Sonnets must be ruled out, since there would have been no way for any “love  triangle” to be in play.)  
  Such is the potency of  this new context that it no longer allows us to keep different views of the  “story” in play at once; all of a sudden there is only one real-life tale being  recorded and the free-for-all game of “this interpretation versus that  interpretation” is hereby cancelled.  
  THE THREE WINTERS IN THE TOWER OF LONDON
  WINTER  I:  February 8, 1601    
  Sonnet  27: Rebellion &  Imprisonment 
  Save that my  soul's imaginary sight
      Presents thy shadow  to my sightless view,
      Which like a jewel  (hung in ghastly night)
    Makes black night  beauteous and her old face new
WINTER  II:  February 8, 1602 
  Sonnet  97: First Anniversary of Rebellion & Imprisonment
  How like a Winter  hath my absence been
      From thee, the  pleasure of the fleeting year!
    [“Pleasure” = the Queen’s pleasure or command; “Fleeting” = slang for imprisoned, echoing the Fleet Prison.]  
WINTER III:   February 8, 1603
  Sonnet  104: Second Anniversary of the Rebellion     
    
Three  Winters  cold... 
      Since first I saw you  fresh...            
    
    In his book Triumphal Forms: Structural Patterns in Elizabethan Poetry (Cambridge University  Press, 1970), the scholar Alastair Fowler notes that Sonnet 104 “speaks of three years, whereas from a structural  point of view only two years of 52  stanza-weeks have elapsed” by then.  The  explanation from the Monument solution, of course, is that by this time Southampton has been in the Tower for two years.  
          Can we doubt that Oxford deliberately found  a way to use Sonnet 104 at exactly this point to signify 52 weeks + 52 weeks =  two years?  The context of Southampton’s confinement for two years up to Feb. 8, 1603 supplies us  with the reason why Oxford would do so.   
      
    
    Another observation by  Fowler is that the introduction of the Fair Youth as “the world’s fresh ornament” in Sonnet 1 “encourages  us to take Sonnet 104 as structurally referent” – because of its line, “Since  first I saw you fresh, which yet are  green.”  The Monument solution to the  Sonnets confirms this observation by Fowler by explaining that during Sonnets  1-26 from 1591 to 1600 the Earl of Southampton was “fresh” in Oxford’s eyes because he enjoyed the favor of the Queen;  during Sonnets 27-106 [which includes Sonnet 104] from Feb. 8, 1601 to April 9,  1603, he was no longer “fresh” because he was languishing in prison; and then in Sonnet 107 upon his release  on April 10, 1603, Oxford proclaims, “My love looks fresh…”   
      It appears certain,  given Fowler’s support from a strictly structural point of view, that Oxford deliberately used  “fresh” to reinforce the context of Southampton’s  ordeal:
  The Golden  Time [1591-1600]: Fresh: “Thou that art now the  world’s fresh ornament” – Sonnet 1, line 9
    
    The Prison  Years [1601-1603]: Not Fresh: “Since first I saw you fresh” – Sonnet 104, line 8
    
    Upon  Liberation [April 10, 1603]: Fresh  Again: “My love looks fresh”  – Sonnet 107, line 10
    
    The  eighty-sonnet prison sequence (27-106) contains two more verses: 
    
  Sonnet  105:  March 24, 1603: Death of Queen Elizabeth I of England.  
  Let  not my love be called Idolatry,                      
    Nor my  beloved as an Idol show,                        
    Since  all alike my songs and praises be,    
    To  one, of one, still such, and ever so.                         
    Kind  is my love today, tomorrow kind,       
    Still  constant in a wondrous excellence;    
    Therefore  my verse to constancy confined,         
    One  thing expressing, leaves out difference.               
    Fair,  kind, and true, is all my argument,    
    Fair,  kind, and true, varying to other words,              
    And in  this change is my invention spent,         
    Three  themes in one, which wondrous scope affords.  
    Fair, kind, and true, have often lived  alone,           
    Which three, till now, never kept seat in  one.   
  Sonnet  106:  April 9, 1603 -  Southampton's last night in Tower. 
      When  in the Chronicle of wasted time,             
    I see  descriptions of the fairest wights,      
    And  beauty making beautiful old rhyme,          
    In  praise of Ladies dead, and lovely Knights,              
    Then  in the blazon of sweet beauty’s best,        
    Of  hand, of foot, of lip, of eye, of brow,       
    I see  their antique Pen would have expressed            
    Even  such a beauty as you master now.                     
    So all  their praises are but prophecies       
    Of  this our time, all you prefiguring,
    And  for they looked but with divining eyes,               
    They  had not still enough your worth to sing:          
    For we which now behold these  present days,
    Have eyes to wonder, but lack tongues to  praise.
    
  Sonnet 107 is the  high point and the  start of a new sequence of twenty verses (107-126) that will complete the  hundred-sonnet center of the Monument. Southampton is liberated after having been "supposed as forfeit to a confined doom"  in prison: 
  Sonnet  107: April 10, 1603    
    Not  mine own fears, nor the prophetic soul
    Of the wide world dreaming on things to come
    Can yet the lease of my true love control,
    Supposed as forfeit to a confined doom.
    The  mortal Moone hath her eclipse endured,                
    And  the sad Augurs mock their own presage,
    Incertainties  now crown themselves assured,                
    And  peace proclaims Olives of endless age.                   
    Now  with the drops of this most balmy time                  
    My  love looks fresh, and death to me subscribes,
    Since  spite of him I’ll live in this poor rhyme,
    While  he insults o’er dull and speechless tribes.         
    And thou in this shalt find thy monument,                
    When tyrants’ crests and tombs of brass are  spent.